Wängi vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOC
0 - 2
THU
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 2
LOC
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
LOC
2 - 6
YVE
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LOC
2 - 2
FCG
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
LOC
68%
19%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |