Wacker Grenchen vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
70.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wacker Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 2
FCW
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCW
2 - 2
LAU
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 0
FCW
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 1
MOU
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
FCW
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LYS
1 - 6
CON
13%
20%
68%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
5 - 4
NEX
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 5
CON
12%
20%
69%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 5
CON
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | -1 |