Volov Shumen vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
54.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
14º
14º
25
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CHE
8 - 0
SHU
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 2
BOT
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
DOR
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UST
4 - 1
SHU
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UST
5 - 1
SVE
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UST
5 - 2
KUB
93%
6%
1%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
5 - 1
UST
85%
12%
4%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CHE
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CMV
11%
15%
73%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |