Volov Shumen vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
11º
46
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SGT
3 - 2
SHU
19%
19%
63%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 1
FSV
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 2
CHE
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
SHU
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 1
DOR
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FKR
4 - 0
BOT
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
FKR
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 1
FKR
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FKR
4 - 1
UST
36%
21%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 4
FKR
11%
16%
73%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |