Volov Shumen vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
11º
74
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 0
SHU
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
SGT
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 0
SHU
64%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SHU
2 - 4
UST
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 1
SHU
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 1
BOT
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 2
CHE
15%
21%
65%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 1
DOR
87%
11%
3%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHE
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHE
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |