FC Volendam vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 0
VOL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
VOL
0 - 0
FCO
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
GAE
3 - 0
VOL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 1
ALK
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 0
VOL
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 4
WIL
34%
25%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
HER
38%
25%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |