FC Volendam vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
18º
14º
69
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
VOL
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
VOL
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 3
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 0
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
7 - 1
VOL
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 6
NAP
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 1
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |