Volders vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
80.3%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
WAT
3 - 1
FCV
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCK
23%
20%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VOL
3 - 1
FCV
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
KIR
2 - 3
KEM
49%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
STJ
1 - 0
KIR
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
KUN
0 - 0
KIR
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
KIR
1 - 1
VOL
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
KIR
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |