Afragolese vs Cavese 1919 analysis

Afragolese Cavese 1919
35 ELO 50
-0.7% Tilt 0.6%
45667º General ELO ranking 2635º
1291º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
17.2%
Afragolese
21.9%
Draw
60.9%
Cavese 1919

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
Afragolese
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.9%
Win probability
Cavese 1919
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Afragolese
Their league position
Cavese 1919
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
13º
11º
66
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brindisi
66
69
66%
Cavese 1919
66
67
66%
Nardò
62
63
100%
Barletta
61
62
100%
Team Altamura
56
57
0%
Casarano
56
57
0%
Matera
47
50
100%
Città di Fasano
44
45
59%
Martina Franca
44
45
59%
USD Bitonto
10º
42
43
10º
100%
Afragolese
12º
36
37
11º
66%
Nocerina
13º
36
37
12º
0%
Gladiator
11º
37
37
13º
0%
Gravina
14º
33
34
14º
100%
Molfetta Calcio
15º
32
33
15º
100%
FC Francavilla 1931
16º
29
30
16º
100%
Lavello
17º
26
27
17º
100%
Puteolana
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Afragolese
Cavese 1919
Promotion
0% 34%
Promotion play-offs
0% 66%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Afragolese
Cavese 1919
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Afragolese
Afragolese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2022
USB
USD Bitonto
2 - 2
Afragolese
AFR
49%
22%
29%
36 38 2 0
28 Aug. 2022
AFR
Afragolese
2 - 4
Puteolana
PUT
57%
21%
22%
37 28 9 -1
08 Jun. 2022
SAS
Sassari Torres
2 - 1
Afragolese
AFR
50%
24%
27%
38 45 7 -1
05 Jun. 2022
TNF
Team Nuova Florida
3 - 5
Afragolese
AFR
42%
23%
35%
36 39 3 +2
25 May. 2022
TNF
Team Nuova Florida
4 - 0
Afragolese
AFR
43%
23%
34%
38 38 0 -2

Matches

Cavese 1919
Cavese 1919
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2022
CAV
Cavese 1919
1 - 0
Team Altamura
ASD
68%
21%
11%
50 38 12 0
29 Aug. 2022
CAV
Cavese 1919
2 - 1
Nola 1925
HYR
60%
23%
17%
49 38 11 +1
29 May. 2022
CAV
Cavese 1919
2 - 0
Acireale
ACI
47%
26%
27%
48 46 2 +1
25 May. 2022
CAV
Cavese 1919
2 - 0
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
CSA
53%
24%
23%
48 42 6 0
22 May. 2022
CAV
Cavese 1919
3 - 1
Acireale
ACI
45%
27%
28%
47 46 1 +1