Vilarinho vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+348%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilarinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DSA
2 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 1
CUS
83%
11%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 1
VIL
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
CSA
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
VIL
42%
23%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALP
0 - 2
NOG
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PED
2 - 2
ALP
77%
14%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DSA
0 - 0
ALP
57%
21%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALP
4 - 1
CUS
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 1
ALP
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |