Vilarinho vs Alfenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilarinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 4
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
LAV
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAI
1 - 0
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
INF
2 - 0
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAI
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 0
NOG
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
ALF
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
DSA
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
CUS
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 0
ALF
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |