FC Verden 04 vs Wilhelmshaven II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
18º
14º
45
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Verden 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GER
3 - 2
VER
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 2
VER
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VER
3 - 1
LUP
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
6 - 1
VER
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SVM
1 - 1
VER
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wilhelmshaven II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 4
WIL
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 3
SVM
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 1
WIL
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
VFL
16%
18%
67%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 0
WIL
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |