Velim vs Jablonec II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ADM
1 - 1
FCV
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 0
TRU
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UST
5 - 0
FCV
57%
22%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCV
0 - 1
KOL
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCV
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
JBN
0 - 2
TJP
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
JBN
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
JBN
2 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HKI
1 - 1
JBN
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ADM
3 - 2
JBN
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |