Vale Formoso vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vale Formoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PIN
5 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
5%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FAT
3 - 2
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 0
SER
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
8%
19%
73%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
LOU
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |