FC Vaduz vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCV
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 0
SIO
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FCV
11 - 0
FCS
86%
11%
3%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
STG
1 - 3
FCV
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 4
LUG
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SIO
3 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |