FC Vaduz vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
8º
6º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCV
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 0
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 1
STA
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
THU
3 - 1
FCV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FCV
5 - 1
SCA
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
STA
2 - 4
FCA
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
BEL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 2
FCA
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BIE
3 - 5
FCA
21%
20%
59%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |