FC Vaduz vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
9º
8º
57
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
THU
3 - 3
FCV
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
YVE
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
LAU
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 6
FCV
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 4
SCH
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
FCA
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |