FC Vaduz vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCV
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 2
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
FCV
51%
23%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 1
ETO
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BIE
3 - 5
FCV
42%
24%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 5
YOB
11%
19%
71%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 1
KRI
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 2
STG
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 3
BIE
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |