FC Vaduz vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
68.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 2
LOC
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 3
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCV
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
FCV
0 - 1
UJP
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SIO
4 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 3
GCZ
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
STG
3 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |