Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-3
Utrecht vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MEP
0 - 0
UTR
9%
14%
77%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
MON
0 - 9
UTR
3%
8%
89%
|
81 | 25 | 56 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
UTR
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 1
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
UTR
3 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZRI
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ZRI
3 - 0
AKP
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
AKP
0 - 3
ZRI
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
ZRI
2 - 1
NSM
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
ZRI
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |