Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STE
0 - 5
UTR
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 1
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AZA
5 - 1
UTR
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 2
SPA
72%
17%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 1
UTR
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RKC
3 - 0
WIL
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |