Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
UTR
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ADO
1 - 4
UTR
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
UTR
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
RKC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
AZA
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |