Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 2
OOS
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
STU
2 - 3
UTR
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 3
WIL
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
FCE
0 - 2
WIL
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 3
ADO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |