Utrecht vs Willem II analysis

Utrecht Willem II
79 ELO 73
0.9% Tilt 21.6%
112º General ELO ranking 421º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
57%
Utrecht
22.6%
Draw
20.5%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
Willem II
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
+3%
-20%
Willem II

ELO progression

Utrecht
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2019
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
3 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
51%
23%
26%
80 83 3 0
10 Jan. 2019
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 2
KV Oostende
OOS
48%
24%
28%
79 77 2 +1
06 Jan. 2019
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
36%
26%
39%
79 78 1 0
23 Dec. 2018
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
18%
21%
61%
80 88 8 -1
20 Dec. 2018
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
53%
23%
24%
80 84 4 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2019
TWE
Twente
2 - 3
Willem II
WIL
41%
24%
35%
72 71 1 0
20 Jan. 2019
WIL
Willem II
2 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
50%
24%
26%
71 67 4 +1
23 Dec. 2018
FCE
Emmen
0 - 2
Willem II
WIL
29%
25%
46%
71 64 7 0
18 Dec. 2018
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
Amsterdamsche FC
AFC
71%
18%
11%
71 54 17 0
14 Dec. 2018
WIL
Willem II
0 - 3
ADO Den Haag
ADO
47%
24%
29%
72 68 4 -1