Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZEN
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ADO
0 - 3
UTR
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
LPO
2 - 2
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 0
LPO
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CER
5 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
EIN
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
GNK
4 - 0
WIL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
KVK
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |