Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 3
UTR
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
2 - 3
UTR
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |