Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 1
UTR
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
GRO
4 - 0
UTR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 3
GRO
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 2
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RJC
0 - 1
WIL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 0
WIL
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 3
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |