Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 2
UTR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
UTR
2 - 1
RKC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
GRA
3 - 3
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRA
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 2
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 1
BOS
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |