Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
3 - 3
UTR
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
3 - 1
UTR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |