Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
SPA
4 - 1
UTR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 0
SVV
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ADO
3 - 1
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
4 - 1
VOL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
WIL
3 - 2
FEY
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |