Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 4
UTR
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
GRO
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |