Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
6 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 0
ADO
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
UTR
2 - 1
VVV
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 0
RKC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |