Utrecht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
RKC
2 - 1
UTR
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
1 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
4 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
2 - 0
CER
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
1 - 3
STB
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PRE
1 - 4
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
HER
2 - 1
DEN
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
BSV
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ALS
1 - 4
HER
4%
12%
84%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
HER
1 - 2
NEC
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |