Utrecht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRA
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 0
UTR
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RKC
2 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |