Utrecht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RJC
2 - 0
UTR
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
UTR
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
VVV
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 4
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
SCH
27%
25%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |