Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
80%
13%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 2
VVV
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
FEY
34%
25%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 0
GRA
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 2
SCH
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 2
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |