Utrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 0
UTR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
FEY
4 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BOS
1 - 1
UTR
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 3
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GRA
4 - 2
TWE
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |