Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
UTR
3 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 3
UTR
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
BVO
4 - 3
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 1
BOS
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 4
GAE
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
GAE
6 - 0
HEL
58%
21%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
GAE
4 - 1
VOL
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GRO
6 - 1
GAE
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |