Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
8º
4º
41
10º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 2
VNZ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 1
LEN
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
S04
0 - 2
UTR
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UTR
4 - 1
RAY
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 2
SIF
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VNZ
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
5 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 2
ZWO
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
ACH
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 3
SIF
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |