Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
UTR
2 - 2
LEV
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
OPA
1 - 1
UTR
15%
18%
67%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 4
KAS
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 2
UTR
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 3
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ZWO
3 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ZWO
3 - 1
LEV
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
HAN
3 - 1
ZWO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ZWO
5 - 0
EXC
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |