EL Playoffs Semi-finals

Global 5-2

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle analysis

Utrecht PEC Zwolle
79 ELO 75
13.2% Tilt 10.5%
112º General ELO ranking 377º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Utrecht
22.9%
Draw
24%
PEC Zwolle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
-2%
+2%
PEC Zwolle

ELO progression

Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2016
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
43%
24%
33%
79 76 3 0
08 May. 2016
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
45%
24%
31%
79 80 1 0
01 May. 2016
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
38%
26%
36%
79 76 3 0
24 Apr. 2016
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
54%
23%
23%
79 82 3 0
20 Apr. 2016
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
77%
15%
8%
80 61 19 -1

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2016
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
43%
24%
33%
76 79 3 0
08 May. 2016
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 3
PSV
PSV
25%
23%
53%
77 85 8 -1
01 May. 2016
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
30%
26%
44%
77 66 11 0
20 Apr. 2016
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
51%
24%
26%
76 76 0 +1
16 Apr. 2016
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
5 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
77 79 2 -1