Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
UTR
4 - 1
FEY
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
UTR
3 - 2
TWE
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
UTR
4 - 4
RJC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
NOO
1 - 7
ZWO
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
ZWO
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 1
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
TWE
0 - 0
ZWO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |