Utrecht vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 3
UTR
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 2
GAE
62%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
LOK
3 - 1
TWE
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 3
TWE
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -2 |