Utrecht vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
UTR
3 - 1
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 1
UTR
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
4 - 3
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
VVV
0 - 2
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
AZA
0 - 0
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |