Utrecht vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
UTR
4 - 4
RJC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
TWE
0 - 0
ZWO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 0
TWE
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |