Utrecht vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 0
VOL
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 2
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
LIV
0 - 0
UTR
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 2
TWE
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 3
GRO
9%
16%
75%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRO
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
4 - 1
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |