Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
VVV
3 - 1
UTR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 3
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |