Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 0
GAE
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |