Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
RBC
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 1
UTR
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |