Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
UTR
0 - 0
ADO
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 0
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
UTR
3 - 1
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
1 - 5
AZA
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 5
EXC
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |