Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
4 - 2
MVV
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 2
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 1
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 2
GAE
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
EXC
2 - 1
RJC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 1
EXC
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
EXC
3 - 1
TWE
18%
28%
54%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |